The Fed's 65% Certainty Is a Mirage for DeFi's Risk Model
Contrary to the market's lazy consensus, the CME FedWatch data screaming a 65...
Companies
•
CryptoNode
•
2026-08-20
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$76,740.9 | +1.40% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$2,472.23 | +3.40% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$101.64 | +4.79% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$728.1 | +2.45% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.31 | +3.19% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0821 | +3.62% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.2034 | +5.94% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$7.63 | +5.14% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$1.03 | +6.41% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$11.38 | +6.49% |
Fear & Greed
50
Neutral
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202622
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
15
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
Altseason Index
42
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$76,740.9
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,472.23
1
Solana
SOL
$101.64
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$728.1
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.31
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0821
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2034
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$7.63
1
Polkadot
DOT
$1.03
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.38
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔵
0xb39c...257f
6h ago
Stake
1,400,572 USDC
🔵
0xe482...e9c3
12h ago
Stake
31,743 SOL
🔴
0xee4f...f162
5m ago
Out
1,356,590 USDC
💡 Smart Money
0xd839...c0e5
Top DeFi Miner
+$4.5M
67%
0xd89c...5bc3
Early Investor
+$3.6M
95%
0x4f9b...a2ed
Institutional Custody
+$4.6M
86%
#CME FedWatch
CME FedWatch related articles
The Coin-Flip Fed: 44.4% September Hike Odds Are a Liquidity Warning, Not a Crypto Signal
August 9. CME FedWatch prints 44.4% probability of a 25 basis point hike at t...
Wallets
•
KaiEagle
•
2026-08-09