The Fed's 65% Certainty Is a Mirage for DeFi's Risk Model
Contrary to the market's lazy consensus, the CME FedWatch data screaming a 65...
Companies
•
CryptoNode
•
2026-08-20
Market Prices
| Coin | Price | 24h |
|---|---|---|
|
BTC
Bitcoin
|
$79,785.5 | -0.06% |
|
ETH
Ethereum
|
$2,496.83 | -1.44% |
|
SOL
Solana
|
$106.62 | +2.35% |
|
BNB
BNB Chain
|
$709.3 | -0.35% |
|
XRP
XRP Ledger
|
$1.43 | -0.73% |
|
DOGE
Dogecoin
|
$0.0877 | -1.10% |
|
ADA
Cardano
|
$0.2098 | -2.46% |
|
AVAX
Avalanche
|
$7.43 | -0.04% |
|
DOT
Polkadot
|
$0.8752 | -1.49% |
|
LINK
Chainlink
|
$11.71 | -1.21% |
Fear & Greed
73
Greed
Market Sentiment
Event Calendar
202615
04
halving
Bitcoin Halving
Block reward reduced to 3.125 BTC
30
04
upgrade
Celestia Mainnet Upgrade
Improves data availability sampling efficiency
08
04
upgrade
Solana Firedancer
Independent validator client goes live on mainnet
10
05
upgrade
Ethereum Pectra Upgrade
Raises validator limit and account abstraction
22
03
unlock
Optimism Unlock
Circulating supply increases by about 2%
12
05
halving
BCH Halving
Block reward halving event
18
03
unlock
Sui Token Unlock
Team and early investor shares released
28
03
unlock
Arbitrum Token Unlock
92 million ARB released
Altseason Index
41
Bitcoin Season
BTC Dominance
Altseason
Gas Tracker
Ethereum
28 Gwei
BNB Chain
3 Gwei
Polygon
42 Gwei
Arbitrum
0.5 Gwei
Optimism
0.3 Gwei
Tag Hub
Market Cap
All →
1
Bitcoin
BTC
$79,785.5
1
Ethereum
ETH
$2,496.83
1
Solana
SOL
$106.62
1
BNB Chain
BNB
$709.3
1
XRP Ledger
XRP
$1.43
1
Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.0877
1
Cardano
ADA
$0.2098
1
Avalanche
AVAX
$7.43
1
Polkadot
DOT
$0.8752
1
Chainlink
LINK
$11.71
🐋 Whale Tracker
🔴
0xe9ac...27f6
30m ago
Out
4,991,399 USDC
🔵
0xdcfb...285f
12h ago
Stake
3,275,583 USDT
🔴
0x1b74...002e
3h ago
Out
4,772.48 BTC
💡 Smart Money
0x88f4...447a
Early Investor
+$3.7M
84%
0x24d3...404d
Experienced On-chain Trader
+$0.6M
92%
0x9337...2d21
Experienced On-chain Trader
-$0.6M
74%
#CME FedWatch
CME FedWatch related articles
The Coin-Flip Fed: 44.4% September Hike Odds Are a Liquidity Warning, Not a Crypto Signal
August 9. CME FedWatch prints 44.4% probability of a 25 basis point hike at t...
Wallets
•
KaiEagle
•
2026-08-09